Theodore P. Stank, Patricia J. Daugherty and Chad W. Autry
Business Process Management Journal
1999, Vol. 4, No. 2, p. 75-85
1) Introduction
- a) ARP
- i) Inventory restocking is triggered by actual needs
- b) Collaborative forecasting
- i) Better match supply and demand
- ii) Better preparation for market changes
iii) Long term forecasts are continually updated based on actual demand
2) Collaborative planning, forecasting and replenishment
- a) Difficulties in forecasting
- i) Influence of promotions
- ii) Changing demand patterns
iii) Competitive pressures
- b) Solutions to uncertainty
- i) Inventory: an expensive method of avoidance
- ii) Cooperative panning between trading partners
- c) What is CPFR
- i) Elimination of multiple forecasts through detailed exchange of information
- ii) Internal coordination and information sharing
iii) Coordinating multiple forecasts and various information into a single forecast
- d) Benefits
- i) More effective inventory management
- ii) Improved customer service
iii) Improved profitability
- e) Nine-step Model
(1) Develop a front-end agreement
(2) Create a joint business plan
(3) Create a sales forecast
(4) Identify exceptions for sales forecast
(5) Resolve/collaborate on exception items
(6) Create an Order forecast
(7) Identify exceptions for order forecast
(8) Resolve/collaborate on exception items
(9) Order generation
3) Impact of CPFR
- a) Reported results
- i) Improved in-stock positions
- ii) Achieved significant inventory reduction
iii) Better asset utilization
- iv) Reduced risk
- v) Improved day-to-day management
- b) Limitations
- i) Business must have significant volume to justify investment
- ii) Requires significant technological support
4) Research results
- a) A positive relationship between CPFR and process inputs, performance outcomes and IS tools used for implementation
- i) Demand fluctuations are smoothed by greater information sharing
- ii) Some reluctance to operate with low/no inventory
- b) A strong positive relationship between firms demonstrating high levels of CPFR and implementation of operating process changes
- c) There is little difference on performance goal attainment associated with high or low levels of CPFR implementation
- d) A positive association between CPFR implementation and IS capabilities
5) Conclusions
- a) There are relatively high levels of process change, achievement of performance goals and IS capabilities among firms using ARP
- b) There is an association between IS capabilities and the implementation of CPFR
- c) True benefits are realized when collaborative plans are linked to operational change
- d) Accurate demand planning enables manufacturing to postpone the production of anticipatory stock
- e) Changes to processes are not easy or cheap
- f) Limitations of research
- i) Fails to verify broad based performance enhancements related to CPFR
- ii) Fails to consider potential differences in manufacturer and retailer perceptions of the impact of APR and CPFR