Is Past Prologue? Polling and Forecasting in the 2020 Election

Dr. Eric Loepp, political science professor, will talk about “Is Past Prologue? Polling and Forecasting in the 2020 Election” on Thurs., Oct. 8, at 6:30 pm. This online public presentation is sponsored by the League of Women Voters-Whitewater Area.

No registration is required! Simply join by going to the URL http://bit.ly/ElectionProgramZoom. Passcode: 082754. Or, join by telephone: (312) 626-6799, Webinar ID: 958 8818 2881, Passcode: 082754. If you are unable to attend the event. a recording will be available to the public.

If you’d like to learn more, Andersen Library may be able to help! Search Books, Media and more UW Whitewater to find books such as Elections and exit polling (2008, online via Wiley) and Improving public opinion surveys: Interdisciplinary innovation and the American National Election Studies (2011, online via ProQuest Ebook Central). Search the articles portion of Research@UWW to find articles including “2016 Presidential statewide polling—A substandard performance: A proposal and application for evaluating preelection poll accuracy” (2019, American Behavioral Scientist, v.63:no. 7, pp. 768–88), “An evaluation of the 2016 election polls in the United States” (2018, Public Opinion Quarterly, v.82:no.1, pp.1–33), “How surprising was Trump’s victory? Evaluations of the 2016 U.S. presidential election and a new poll aggregation model” (2018, Electoral Studies, v.54, pp.81–89), and “Projecting confidence: How the probabilistic horse race confuses and demobilizes the public” (2020, The Journal of Politics, v.82:no.4, pp.1530–1544).

You also can read a Q&A with Courtney Kennedy, the Pew Research Center’s Director of Survey Research, from 2017 on “Political polls and the 2016 election.” The article links to a report on the 2016 political polls from the American Association for Public Opinion Research.

For assistance with finding additional resources, such as articles or additional books, please ask a librarian (visit or contact staff at the Reference Desk, email, chat, or make an appointment).

About Barbara

I am a Reference & Instruction librarian, head of that department in Andersen Library, an associate professor, and a member of the General Education Review Committee and Faculty Senate. I've been working at UW-W since July 1, 1990.
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