{"id":23828,"date":"2020-10-08T10:48:08","date_gmt":"2020-10-08T15:48:08","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.uww.edu\/library\/?p=23828"},"modified":"2020-10-08T10:48:08","modified_gmt":"2020-10-08T15:48:08","slug":"is-past-prologue-polling-and-forecasting-in-the-2020-election","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.uww.edu\/library\/archives\/23828","title":{"rendered":"Is Past Prologue? Polling and Forecasting in the 2020 Election"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.uww.edu\/cls\/cls-directory\/profile?id=loeppe\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Dr. Eric Loepp<\/a>, political science professor, will talk about \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/events\/362802511580237\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Is Past Prologue? Polling and Forecasting in the 2020 Election<\/a>\u201d on Thurs., Oct. 8, at 6:30 pm.<\/strong> This online public presentation is sponsored by the <a href=\"https:\/\/my.lwv.org\/wisconsin\/whitewater-area\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">League of Women Voters-Whitewater Area<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>No registration is required! Simply join by going to the URL <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"http:\/\/bit.ly\/ElectionProgramZoom\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>http:\/\/bit.ly\/ElectionProgramZoom<\/strong><\/a>. Passcode: <strong>082754<\/strong>. Or, join by telephone: <strong>(312) 626-6799,<\/strong> Webinar ID: <strong>958 8818 2881<\/strong>, Passcode: <strong>082754<\/strong>. If you are unable to attend the event. a recording will be available to the public.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>If you&#8217;d like to learn more, Andersen Library may be able to help! <\/strong>Search <a href=\"https:\/\/uwi-primoalma-prod.hosted.exlibrisgroup.com\/primo-explore\/search?vid=WW&amp;institution=WW&amp;search_scope=WW_VOY\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Books, Media and more UW Whitewater<\/a> to find books such as <em><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/uwi-primoalma-prod.hosted.exlibrisgroup.com\/permalink\/f\/1lialos\/UWI51373620600002121\" target=\"_blank\">Elections and exit polling<\/a><\/em> (2008, online via Wiley) and <em><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/uwi-primoalma-prod.hosted.exlibrisgroup.com\/permalink\/f\/1lialos\/UWI51443522000002121\" target=\"_blank\">Improving public opinion surveys: Interdisciplinary innovation and the American National Election Studies<\/a><\/em> (2011, online via ProQuest Ebook Central). Search the <a href=\"https:\/\/uwi-primoalma-prod.hosted.exlibrisgroup.com\/primo-explore\/search?vid=WW&amp;institution=WW&amp;search_scope=WW_ALL\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">articles<\/a> portion of Research@UWW to find articles including \u201c<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/uwi-primoalma-prod.hosted.exlibrisgroup.com\/permalink\/f\/11qeose\/TN_cdi_gale_infotracacademiconefile_A602061378\" target=\"_blank\">2016 Presidential statewide polling\u2014A substandard performance: A proposal and application for evaluating preelection poll accuracy<\/a>\u201d (2019,  <em>American Behavioral Scientist<\/em>, v.63:no. 7, pp. 768\u201388), &#8220;<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/uwi-primoalma-prod.hosted.exlibrisgroup.com\/permalink\/f\/11qeose\/TN_cdi_crossref_primary_10_1093_poq_nfx047\" target=\"_blank\">An evaluation of the 2016 election polls in the United States<\/a>&#8221; (2018, <em>Public Opinion Quarterly<\/em>, v.82:no.1, pp.1\u201333), &#8220;<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/uwi-primoalma-prod.hosted.exlibrisgroup.com\/permalink\/f\/11qeose\/TN_cdi_gale_infotracacademiconefile_A547963901\" target=\"_blank\">How surprising was Trump&#8217;s victory? Evaluations of the 2016 U.S. presidential election and a new poll aggregation model<\/a>&#8221; (2018, <em>Electoral Studies<\/em>, v.54, pp<em>.<\/em>81\u201389), and &#8220;<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/uwi-primoalma-prod.hosted.exlibrisgroup.com\/permalink\/f\/11qeose\/TN_cdi_crossref_primary_10_1086_708682\" target=\"_blank\">Projecting confidence: How the probabilistic horse race confuses and demobilizes the public<\/a>&#8221; (2020, <em>The Journal of Politics<\/em>, v.82:no.4, pp.1530\u20131544).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>You also can read a Q&amp;A with Courtney Kennedy, the Pew Research Center&#8217;s Director of Survey Research, from 2017 on &#8220;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.pewresearch.org\/fact-tank\/2017\/05\/04\/qa-political-polls-and-the-2016-election\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Political polls and the 2016 election<\/a>.&#8221; The article links to a <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.aapor.org\/Education-Resources\/Reports\/An-Evaluation-of-2016-Election-Polls-in-the-U-S.aspx\" target=\"_blank\">report<\/a> on the 2016 political polls from the American Association for Public Opinion Research.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For assistance with finding additional resources, such as articles or additional books, please <a href=\"https:\/\/www.uww.edu\/library\/get-help\">ask a librarian<\/a> (visit or contact staff at the Reference Desk, email, chat, or make an appointment).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Dr. Eric Loepp, political science professor, will talk about \u201cIs Past Prologue? Polling and Forecasting in the 2020 Election\u201d on Thurs., Oct. 8, at 6:30 pm. This online public presentation is sponsored by the League of Women Voters-Whitewater Area. No &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/blogs.uww.edu\/library\/archives\/23828\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":37,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2768,34],"tags":[141,178,353,209],"class_list":["post-23828","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-around-wisconsin","category-campus-connection","tag-articles","tag-books","tag-lectures","tag-politics"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.uww.edu\/library\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23828","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.uww.edu\/library\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.uww.edu\/library\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.uww.edu\/library\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/37"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.uww.edu\/library\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=23828"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.uww.edu\/library\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23828\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":23831,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.uww.edu\/library\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23828\/revisions\/23831"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.uww.edu\/library\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=23828"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.uww.edu\/library\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=23828"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.uww.edu\/library\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=23828"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}